Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 11:21 AM to 11:50 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 11, 2026 at 11:21 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 85.1852. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:50 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

7.30248.8490.37Sep 11, 11:21 AM ET11:50 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 11:21 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

7.30248.8490.37Sep 11, 11:21 AM ET11:50 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:21 AM ET85.1852
Projected value at 11:50 AM ET50.1411
Actual value at 11:50 AM ET50.7463
Projected change across the window-35.0441
Actual change across the window-34.4389
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.02×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.02 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 1 (11:21 AM ET), where they sat 0.318223 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (11:27 AM ET) with a gap of 59.6253. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (11:25 AM ET), a move of -56.5553. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:22 AM82.829150-32.8291
611:27 AM69.829410.2041-59.6253
1211:33 AM51.295819.0476-32.2482
1811:39 AM50.512256.8966+6.38436
2411:45 AM51.260835.8209-15.4399
2911:50 AM50.141150.7463+0.605201

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.