Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 6:35 PM to 7:04 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 6:35 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 21.8391. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:04 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.88133.2560.61Sep 10, 6:35 PM ET7:04 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 6:35 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.88133.2560.61Sep 10, 6:35 PM ET7:04 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:35 PM ET21.8391
Projected value at 7:04 PM ET46.3685
Actual value at 7:04 PM ET40.367
Projected change across the window+24.5294
Actual change across the window+18.5279
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.32×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.32 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (6:55 PM ET), where they sat 3.06048 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (6:50 PM ET) with a gap of 44.542. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (6:36 PM ET), a move of +42.4466. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:36 PM19.889564.2857+44.3962
66:41 PM44.106117.3913-26.7148
126:47 PM46.19198.97436-37.2175
186:53 PM46.399611.0169-35.3826
246:59 PM46.553654.5872+8.03354
297:04 PM46.368540.367-6.00151

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.