Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 10, 2026, 3:05 PM to 3:34 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 10, 2026 at 3:05 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 69.2683. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:34 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.77948.8191.85Sep 10, 3:05 PM ET3:34 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 3:05 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.77948.8191.85Sep 10, 3:05 PM ET3:34 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:05 PM ET69.2683
Projected value at 3:34 PM ET45.2187
Actual value at 3:34 PM ET95.0685
Projected change across the window-24.0496
Actual change across the window+25.8002
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.93×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.93 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (3:15 PM ET), where they sat 4.03413 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (3:11 PM ET) with a gap of 61.1744. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (3:24 PM ET), a move of +56.705. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:06 PM17.15430.7339+13.58
63:11 PM36.098397.2727+61.1744
123:17 PM43.147551.25+8.1025
183:23 PM44.11240-44.1124
243:29 PM43.363275.3125+31.9493
293:34 PM45.218795.0685+49.8498

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.