Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 3:55 PM to 4:24 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 10.9091. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:24 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

16.0454.2892.53Sep 8, 3:55 PM ET4:24 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 3:55 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

16.0454.2892.53Sep 8, 3:55 PM ET4:24 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:55 PM ET10.9091
Projected value at 4:24 PM ET50.4309
Actual value at 4:24 PM ET55.5085
Projected change across the window+39.5218
Actual change across the window+44.5994
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.89×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.89 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 4 (3:58 PM ET), where they sat 0.235876 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (4:10 PM ET) with a gap of 48.352. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (4:13 PM ET), a move of -42.5708. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:56 PM24.032314.5455-9.48685
64:01 PM29.419344.5596+15.1403
124:07 PM52.470392.4623+39.992
184:13 PM48.497816.2011-32.2966
244:19 PM49.85456.7797+6.92566
294:24 PM50.430955.5085+5.07757

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.