Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 4:03 PM to 4:32 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 3, 2026 at 4:03 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 68.5039. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:32 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

12.8652.0491.22Sep 3, 4:03 PM ET4:32 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 4:03 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

12.8652.0491.22Sep 3, 4:03 PM ET4:32 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:03 PM ET68.5039
Projected value at 4:32 PM ET45.2629
Actual value at 4:32 PM ET82.8255
Projected change across the window-23.241
Actual change across the window+14.3215
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.62×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall, while it rose instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.62 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (4:27 PM ET), where they sat 0.26007 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (4:07 PM ET) with a gap of 64.2598. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (4:16 PM ET), a move of -55.1289. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:04 PM31.100867.7165+36.6158
64:09 PM37.040683.871+46.8304
124:15 PM49.127593.2584+44.1309
184:21 PM47.636932.8947-14.7422
244:27 PM46.586846.8468+0.26007
294:32 PM45.262982.8255+37.5626

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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