Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 2:00 PM to 2:29 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 2.64901. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:29 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

7.46249.7792.08Sep 3, 2:00 PM ET2:29 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 2:00 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

7.46249.7792.08Sep 3, 2:00 PM ET2:29 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:00 PM ET2.64901
Projected value at 2:29 PM ET52.5149
Actual value at 2:29 PM ET46.6077
Projected change across the window+49.8659
Actual change across the window+43.9587
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.13×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.13 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (2:26 PM ET), where they sat 1.02221 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (2:00 PM ET) with a gap of 65.1063. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 25 (2:25 PM ET), a move of -46.6472. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:01 PM64.51418.14249-56.3716
62:06 PM50.623620.9402-29.6834
122:12 PM53.802594.8148+41.0124
182:18 PM55.231177.8816+22.6505
242:24 PM54.288471.7201+17.4317
292:29 PM52.514946.6077-5.9072

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.