Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 1:50 PM to 2:19 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 1:50 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 97.7642. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:19 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

26.7560.0293.3Sep 3, 1:50 PM ET2:19 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 1:50 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

26.7560.0293.3Sep 3, 1:50 PM ET2:19 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:50 PM ET97.7642
Projected value at 2:19 PM ET53.9231
Actual value at 2:19 PM ET27.1739
Projected change across the window-43.8412
Actual change across the window-70.5903
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.62×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.62 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (2:17 PM ET), where they sat 0.411075 apart, and furthest at bar 24 (2:14 PM ET) with a gap of 44.5675. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 15 (2:05 PM ET), a move of -46.6472. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:51 PM63.09191.6272+28.5362
61:56 PM53.691783.0218+29.3301
122:02 PM54.983796.1183+41.1346
182:08 PM52.099670.5015+18.4019
242:14 PM52.715197.2826+44.5675
292:19 PM53.923127.1739-26.7491

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.