Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 11:54 AM to 12:23 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 11:54 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 7.8125. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:23 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

6.19544.1482.08Sep 3, 11:54 AM ET12:23 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 11:54 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

6.19544.1482.08Sep 3, 11:54 AM ET12:23 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:54 AM ET7.8125
Projected value at 12:23 PM ET50.6771
Actual value at 12:23 PM ET60.9023
Projected change across the window+42.8646
Actual change across the window+53.0898
Bars moving the same direction17 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.81×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.81 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 61% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (12:07 PM ET), where they sat 1.66078 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:54 AM ET) with a gap of 50.4859. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 24 (12:18 PM ET), a move of -36.9585. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:55 AM52.70146.77083-45.9306
612:00 PM50.89375.85774-45.0359
1212:06 PM48.422155.1587+6.73664
1812:12 PM50.081476.5568+26.4754
2412:18 PM50.86838.94309-41.9252
2912:23 PM50.677160.9023+10.2252

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.