Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 11:10 AM to 11:39 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 11:10 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 86.59. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:39 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

21.9857.2592.52Sep 3, 11:10 AM ET11:39 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 11:10 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

21.9857.2592.52Sep 3, 11:10 AM ET11:39 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:10 AM ET86.59
Projected value at 11:39 AM ET50.0775
Actual value at 11:39 AM ET60.2837
Projected change across the window-36.5126
Actual change across the window-26.3064
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.39×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.39 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (11:34 AM ET), where they sat 1.33649 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (11:16 AM ET) with a gap of 44.4415. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (11:21 AM ET), a move of +55.52. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:11 AM86.260189.6552+3.39509
611:16 AM52.638897.0803+44.4415
1211:22 AM50.137140.8602-9.27685
1811:28 AM49.410353.7037+4.29343
2411:34 AM47.435846.0993-1.33649
2911:39 AM50.077560.2837+10.2062

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.