Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 11:07 AM to 11:36 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 11:07 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 83. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:36 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

21.9857.2592.52Sep 3, 11:07 AM ET11:36 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 11:07 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

21.9857.2592.52Sep 3, 11:07 AM ET11:36 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:07 AM ET83
Projected value at 11:36 AM ET48.4207
Actual value at 11:36 AM ET26.9504
Projected change across the window-34.5793
Actual change across the window-56.0496
Bars moving the same direction18 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.62×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.62 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 64% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (11:28 AM ET), where they sat 0.50413 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (11:12 AM ET) with a gap of 47.3726. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (11:15 AM ET), a move of +55.52. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:08 AM91.332889-2.3328
611:13 AM72.293839.4161-32.8777
1211:19 AM47.185867.5926+20.4068
1811:25 AM45.880517.2414-28.6391
2411:31 AM46.100960.2837+14.1828
2911:36 AM48.420726.9504-21.4704

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.