Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 10:55 AM to 11:24 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 10:55 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 67.5926. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:24 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

6.07344.5282.97Sep 3, 10:55 AM ET11:24 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 10:55 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

6.07344.5282.97Sep 3, 10:55 AM ET11:24 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:55 AM ET67.5926
Projected value at 11:24 AM ET47.0014
Actual value at 11:24 AM ET88.1356
Projected change across the window-20.5912
Actual change across the window+20.543
Bars moving the same direction17 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.00×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.00 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 61% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (11:19 AM ET), where they sat 0.466151 apart, and furthest at bar 19 (11:14 AM ET) with a gap of 47.7596. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (11:17 AM ET), a move of +47.4462. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:56 AM76.189762.963-13.2268
611:01 AM59.020217.2414-41.7788
1211:07 AM52.175260.2837+8.10848
1811:13 AM48.262126.2411-22.021
2411:19 AM49.533850+0.466151
2911:24 AM47.001488.1356+41.1342

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.