Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 8:19 AM to 8:48 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 8:19 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 23.0126. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:48 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.82149.1692.5Sep 3, 8:19 AM ET8:48 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 8:19 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.82149.1692.5Sep 3, 8:19 AM ET8:48 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:19 AM ET23.0126
Projected value at 8:48 AM ET49.1829
Actual value at 8:48 AM ET0
Projected change across the window+26.1704
Actual change across the window-23.0126
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.14×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise, while it fell instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.14 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (8:42 AM ET), where they sat 0.27764 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (8:48 AM ET) with a gap of 49.1829. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (8:36 AM ET), a move of -44.4732. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:20 AM18.53856.27615-12.2623
68:25 AM33.78540.1869+6.40189
128:31 AM49.221995+45.7781
188:37 AM50.708778.3883+27.6796
248:43 AM51.819648.6056-3.214
298:48 AM49.18290-49.1829

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.