Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 7:20 AM to 7:49 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 7:20 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 68.75. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:49 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

9.64151.6593.65Sep 3, 7:20 AM ET7:49 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 7:20 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

9.64151.6593.65Sep 3, 7:20 AM ET7:49 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:20 AM ET68.75
Projected value at 7:49 AM ET48.1529
Actual value at 7:49 AM ET32.9412
Projected change across the window-20.5971
Actual change across the window-35.8088
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.58×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.58 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (7:32 AM ET), where they sat 0.374453 apart, and furthest at bar 18 (7:38 AM ET) with a gap of 49.4494. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (7:39 AM ET), a move of -46.0534. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:21 AM51.773242.7536-9.01958
67:26 AM41.312352.5424+11.2301
127:32 AM48.707848.3333-0.374453
187:38 AM49.841399.2908+49.4494
247:44 AM47.60377.59494-40.0088
297:49 AM48.152932.9412-15.2118

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.