Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 4:02 PM to 4:31 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 4:02 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 86.8778. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:31 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

8.41649.8991.37Sep 2, 4:02 PM ET4:31 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 4:02 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

8.41649.8991.37Sep 2, 4:02 PM ET4:31 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:02 PM ET86.8778
Projected value at 4:31 PM ET49.2375
Actual value at 4:31 PM ET59.0062
Projected change across the window-37.6403
Actual change across the window-27.8716
Bars moving the same direction17 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.35×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.35 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 61% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (4:30 PM ET), where they sat 1.3794 apart, and furthest at bar 14 (4:16 PM ET) with a gap of 45.2277. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (4:08 PM ET), a move of -64.2465. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:03 PM59.511576.0181+16.5066
64:08 PM57.080532.6923-24.3882
124:14 PM46.445631.1966-15.249
184:20 PM46.23015.31915-40.9109
244:26 PM48.238818.9189-29.3199
294:31 PM49.237559.0062+9.76866

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.