Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 12:49 PM to 1:18 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 12:49 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 4.7619. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:18 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

6.77448.4990.2Sep 2, 12:49 PM ET1:18 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 12:49 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

6.77448.4990.2Sep 2, 12:49 PM ET1:18 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:49 PM ET4.7619
Projected value at 1:18 PM ET50.3507
Actual value at 1:18 PM ET95.7983
Projected change across the window+45.5888
Actual change across the window+91.0364
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.50×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.50 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (1:13 PM ET), where they sat 1.70325 apart, and furthest at bar 16 (1:05 PM ET) with a gap of 48.4818. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (12:52 PM ET), a move of -25.7045. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:50 PM21.369912.9496-8.42024
612:55 PM47.37619.71429-37.6618
121:01 PM50.67023.09735-47.5729
181:07 PM47.64461.36986-46.2747
241:13 PM47.699149.4024+1.70325
291:18 PM50.350795.7983+45.4476

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.