Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — M2K, 5 minute chart, November 12, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 12, 2026, 2:22 PM to 4:47 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On November 12, 2026 at 2:22 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the M2K 5 minute chart read 12.2449. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:47 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

8.71946.484.08Nov 12, 2:22 PM ET4:47 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 2:22 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

8.71946.484.08Nov 12, 2:22 PM ET4:47 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:22 PM ET12.2449
Projected value at 4:47 PM ET89.1449
Actual value at 4:47 PM ET84.4037
Projected change across the window+76.9
Actual change across the window+72.1588
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.07×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.07 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (4:17 PM ET), where they sat 1.14141 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (2:47 PM ET) with a gap of 50.9121. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (3:47 PM ET), a move of +40.7407. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:27 PM50.52319.5652-30.9578
62:52 PM84.966247.2222-37.744
123:22 PM26.75276.09756-20.6551
183:52 PM62.227240.7407-21.4864
244:22 PM86.578978.1609-8.418
294:47 PM89.144984.4037-4.74125

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 5 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 5 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 2.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 2.5 hours of M2K activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.