Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — M2K, 1 minute chart, November 13, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 13, 2026, 12:38 AM to 1:07 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On November 13, 2026 at 12:38 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the M2K 1 minute chart read 86.6667. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:07 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.57647.0988.61Nov 13, 12:38 AM ET1:07 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 12:38 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.57647.0988.61Nov 13, 12:38 AM ET1:07 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:38 AM ET86.6667
Projected value at 1:07 AM ET20.1725
Actual value at 1:07 AM ET0
Projected change across the window-66.4942
Actual change across the window-86.6667
Bars moving the same direction17 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.77×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.77 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 61% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (12:59 AM ET), where they sat 0.222303 apart, and furthest at bar 28 (1:06 AM ET) with a gap of 81.6838. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (12:47 AM ET), a move of -40.7407. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:39 AM9.3194183.3333+74.0139
612:44 AM22.391770.3704+47.9787
1212:50 AM18.791816.6667-2.1251
1812:56 AM29.800155.5556+25.7555
241:02 AM06.66667+6.66667
291:07 AM20.17250-20.1725

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of M2K activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.