Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 2:26 PM to 2:55 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 2:26 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 4.96169. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:55 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.8849.6793.45Sep 27, 2:26 PM ET2:55 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 2:26 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.8849.6793.45Sep 27, 2:26 PM ET2:55 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:26 PM ET4.96169
Projected value at 2:55 PM ET51.1368
Actual value at 2:55 PM ET94.6362
Projected change across the window+46.1751
Actual change across the window+89.6745
Bars moving the same direction17 of 27
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.51×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.51 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 63% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (2:52 PM ET), where they sat 2.62593 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (2:26 PM ET) with a gap of 51.6478. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (2:53 PM ET), a move of +52.1371. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:27 PM41.37176.5593-34.8125
62:32 PM20.14146.46194-13.6794
122:38 PM35.073968.4248+33.351
182:44 PM52.256492.451+40.1946
242:50 PM52.02330.2852-21.7377
292:55 PM51.136894.6362+43.4993

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.