Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 1:55 PM to 2:24 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 27, 2026 at 1:55 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 82.5982. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:24 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

9.551.994.3Sep 27, 1:55 PM ET2:24 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 1:55 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

9.551.994.3Sep 27, 1:55 PM ET2:24 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:55 PM ET82.5982
Projected value at 2:24 PM ET54.1901
Actual value at 2:24 PM ET99.9959
Projected change across the window-28.408
Actual change across the window+17.3977
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.63×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall, while it rose instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.63 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 6 (2:00 PM ET), where they sat 1.78723 apart, and furthest at bar 13 (2:08 PM ET) with a gap of 53.9211. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (2:17 PM ET), a move of +42.7155. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:56 PM88.247973.9044-14.3436
62:01 PM72.425766.9882-5.43746
122:07 PM60.15017.96279-52.1873
182:13 PM53.012129.7779-23.2342
242:19 PM51.629296.8776+45.2484
292:24 PM54.190199.9959+45.8057

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.