Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 12:06 PM to 12:35 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 12:06 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 100. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:35 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

36.2566.1295.99Sep 27, 12:06 PM ET12:35 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 12:06 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

36.2566.1295.99Sep 27, 12:06 PM ET12:35 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:06 PM ET100
Projected value at 12:35 PM ET55.1237
Actual value at 12:35 PM ET33.0824
Projected change across the window-44.8763
Actual change across the window-66.9176
Bars moving the same direction18 of 27
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.67×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.67 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 67% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (12:23 PM ET), where they sat 2.11091 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (12:11 PM ET) with a gap of 51.7149. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (12:27 PM ET), a move of +34.1455. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:07 PM72.3678100+27.6322
612:12 PM46.829796.1488+49.3191
1212:18 PM41.122485.2135+44.091
1812:24 PM52.826332.2344-20.5919
2412:30 PM54.52998.0045+43.4755
2912:35 PM55.123733.0824-22.0413

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.