Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 9:03 AM to 9:32 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 9:03 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 12.3542. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:32 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.925094.08Sep 27, 9:03 AM ET9:32 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 9:03 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.925094.08Sep 27, 9:03 AM ET9:32 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:03 AM ET12.3542
Projected value at 9:32 AM ET46.8173
Actual value at 9:32 AM ET46.9738
Projected change across the window+34.4631
Actual change across the window+34.6196
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.00×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.00 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (9:32 AM ET), where they sat 0.156552 apart, and furthest at bar 21 (9:24 AM ET) with a gap of 53.1083. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (9:16 AM ET), a move of -34.9683. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:04 AM50.206122.9551-27.251
69:09 AM66.771399.9902+33.219
129:15 AM70.765286.2156+15.4504
189:21 AM58.796523.8197-34.9769
249:27 AM51.32283.91879-47.404
299:32 AM46.817346.9738+0.156552

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.