Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 10:07 PM to 10:36 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 26, 2026 at 10:07 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 58.2923. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:36 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

7.45350.8194.17Sep 26, 10:07 PM ET10:36 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 10:07 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

7.45350.8194.17Sep 26, 10:07 PM ET10:36 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:07 PM ET58.2923
Projected value at 10:36 PM ET46.746
Actual value at 10:36 PM ET39.1417
Projected change across the window-11.5463
Actual change across the window-19.1505
Bars moving the same direction17 of 27
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.60×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.60 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 63% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 16 (10:22 PM ET), where they sat 3.02542 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (10:09 PM ET) with a gap of 67.3175. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (10:18 PM ET), a move of -56.3087. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:08 PM27.217263.6157+36.3984
610:13 PM48.097398.0728+49.9756
1210:19 PM49.66479.05043-40.6143
1810:25 PM47.46521.9748-25.4901
2410:31 PM46.72471.62966-45.095
2910:36 PM46.74639.1417-7.60424

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.