Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 7:56 PM to 8:25 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 26, 2026 at 7:56 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 77.5339. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:25 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.36745.285.03Sep 26, 7:56 PM ET8:25 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 7:56 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.36745.285.03Sep 26, 7:56 PM ET8:25 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:56 PM ET77.5339
Projected value at 8:25 PM ET57.8445
Actual value at 8:25 PM ET54.8659
Projected change across the window-19.6894
Actual change across the window-22.6681
Bars moving the same direction16 of 26
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.87×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.87 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 12 (8:07 PM ET), where they sat 2.31283 apart, and furthest at bar 26 (8:22 PM ET) with a gap of 55.8812. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 23 (8:19 PM ET), a move of -63.586. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:57 PM88.410376.3664-12.0439
68:02 PM69.390473.7635+4.37307
128:08 PM64.017268.1654+4.14822
188:14 PM52.82765.59126-47.2364
248:20 PM60.489112.8418-47.6473
298:25 PM57.844554.8659-2.97865

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.