Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 6, 2026, 7:13 PM to 7:42 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 6, 2026 at 7:13 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 6.87966. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:42 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.71148.2490.76Sep 6, 7:13 PM ET7:42 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 7:13 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.71148.2490.76Sep 6, 7:13 PM ET7:42 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:13 PM ET6.87966
Projected value at 7:42 PM ET47.0775
Actual value at 7:42 PM ET52.9234
Projected change across the window+40.1979
Actual change across the window+46.0437
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.87×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.87 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (7:37 PM ET), where they sat 1.45614 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (7:28 PM ET) with a gap of 54.8081. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (7:29 PM ET), a move of -43.6576. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:14 PM46.90159.99504-36.9065
67:19 PM51.88281.73392-50.1489
127:25 PM42.428218.036-24.3923
187:31 PM54.20358.3871+4.18402
247:37 PM51.673150.217-1.45614
297:42 PM47.077552.9234+5.84585

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.