Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 5, 2026, 6:07 PM to 6:36 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 5, 2026 at 6:07 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 87.9951. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:36 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

24.5355.6986.84Sep 5, 6:07 PM ET6:36 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 6:07 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

24.5355.6986.84Sep 5, 6:07 PM ET6:36 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:07 PM ET87.9951
Projected value at 6:36 PM ET52.2479
Actual value at 6:36 PM ET32.2912
Projected change across the window-35.7473
Actual change across the window-55.704
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.64×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.64 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (6:20 PM ET), where they sat 0.783724 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (6:11 PM ET) with a gap of 36.4413. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (6:16 PM ET), a move of -50.2749. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:08 PM53.995477.5857+23.5903
66:13 PM52.862782.7041+29.8414
126:19 PM54.335167.9919+13.6568
186:25 PM51.07884.9672+33.8892
246:31 PM49.751239.5401-10.2111
296:36 PM52.247932.2912-19.9567

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.