Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 5, 2026, 12:38 PM to 1:07 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 5, 2026 at 12:38 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 80.3212. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:07 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

14.6554.6494.63Sep 5, 12:38 PM ET1:07 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 12:38 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

14.6554.6494.63Sep 5, 12:38 PM ET1:07 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:38 PM ET80.3212
Projected value at 1:07 PM ET51.2119
Actual value at 1:07 PM ET100
Projected change across the window-29.1093
Actual change across the window+19.6788
Bars moving the same direction17 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.48×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall, while it rose instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.48 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 61% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (1:00 PM ET), where they sat 2.88302 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (1:07 PM ET) with a gap of 48.7881. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (12:55 PM ET), a move of -55.3722. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:39 PM64.815959.1455-5.67037
612:44 PM44.098369.8023+25.704
1212:50 PM52.063844.1612-7.90268
1812:56 PM52.00810.7811-41.2269
241:02 PM49.282176.2378+26.9557
291:07 PM51.2119100+48.7881

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.