Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 7:12 PM to 7:41 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 4, 2026 at 7:12 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 11.28. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:41 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

6.5225093.49Sep 4, 7:12 PM ET7:41 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 7:12 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

6.5225093.49Sep 4, 7:12 PM ET7:41 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:12 PM ET11.28
Projected value at 7:41 PM ET51.8286
Actual value at 7:41 PM ET73.3897
Projected change across the window+40.5486
Actual change across the window+62.1097
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.65×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.65 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 6 (7:17 PM ET), where they sat 0.498408 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (7:12 PM ET) with a gap of 69.4429. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (7:32 PM ET), a move of +48.2833. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:13 PM73.989239.2097-34.7795
67:18 PM50.681980.6282+29.9463
127:24 PM51.279947.2076-4.07235
187:30 PM50.696813.7152-36.9816
247:36 PM50.308893.3716+43.0628
297:41 PM51.828673.3897+21.5611

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.