Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 6:20 PM to 6:49 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 4, 2026 at 6:20 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 77.4633. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:49 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

10.3342.574.68Sep 4, 6:20 PM ET6:49 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 6:20 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

10.3342.574.68Sep 4, 6:20 PM ET6:49 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:20 PM ET77.4633
Projected value at 6:49 PM ET51.8209
Actual value at 6:49 PM ET28.0639
Projected change across the window-25.6424
Actual change across the window-49.3994
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.52×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.52 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (6:47 PM ET), where they sat 0.741906 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (6:25 PM ET) with a gap of 52.6532. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (6:33 PM ET), a move of -43.9495. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:21 PM75.294158.7717-16.5224
66:26 PM65.491813.3365-52.1553
126:32 PM53.191649.9617-3.22985
186:38 PM53.907862.6081+8.70035
246:44 PM54.033319.1055-34.9278
296:49 PM51.820928.0639-23.757

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Automated analysis Fast Stochastics for NT8 Yes. Alongside the regular Fast Stochastics, PredictIndicators shows where the Fast Stochastics is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. Fast Stochastics indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

Future candle indicator for BTCUSD in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 Yes. On a NinjaTrader 8 or MT5 BTCUSD chart, PredictIndicators shows the predicted open, high, low and close of the coming bars to the right of the last bar. Next candle prediction indicator →

NinjaTrader future indicator values Yes. PredictIndicators runs inside NinjaTrader 8: the predicted BTCUSD candles and the predicted indicators sit on your own chart, next to the indicators you already use. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.