Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 4:45 AM to 5:14 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 27, 2026 at 4:45 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 1.26311. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:14 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.06642.7780.48Sep 27, 4:45 AM ET5:14 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 4:45 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.06642.7780.48Sep 27, 4:45 AM ET5:14 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:45 AM ET1.26311
Projected value at 5:14 AM ET50.5824
Actual value at 5:14 AM ET85.5417
Projected change across the window+49.3193
Actual change across the window+84.2786
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.59×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.59 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (5:11 AM ET), where they sat 1.57146 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (5:00 AM ET) with a gap of 43.4482. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (5:07 AM ET), a move of +17.9403. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:46 AM10.97295.281-5.69188
64:51 AM25.91675.53526-20.3814
124:57 AM45.16775.949-39.2187
185:03 AM41.82378.88991-32.9338
245:09 AM45.086451.8215+6.7351
295:14 AM50.582485.5417+34.9594

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Best predictive Stochastics for MT5 Yes. Alongside the regular Stochastics, PredictIndicators shows where the Stochastics is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. Stochastics indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

Indicator to predict the next candle on Bitcoin PredictIndicators is a next candle prediction indicator: it draws the predicted next candles of BTCUSD, up to 30 bars ahead, on your NinjaTrader 8 or MetaTrader 5 chart and redraws them as each bar closes. Next candle prediction indicator →

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.