Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 4:00 AM to 4:29 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 27, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 68.5143. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:29 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

18.1552.2586.35Sep 27, 4:00 AM ET4:29 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 4:00 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

18.1552.2586.35Sep 27, 4:00 AM ET4:29 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:00 AM ET68.5143
Projected value at 4:29 AM ET46.994
Actual value at 4:29 AM ET39.3154
Projected change across the window-21.5203
Actual change across the window-29.1989
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.74×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.74 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (4:21 AM ET), where they sat 1.08979 apart, and furthest at bar 26 (4:26 AM ET) with a gap of 36.6159. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (4:13 AM ET), a move of -24.4872. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:01 AM86.78985.4061-1.38282
64:06 AM67.065174.3515+7.28641
124:12 AM39.546854.7727+15.2259
184:18 AM37.2342.9896+5.75964
244:24 AM45.263959.1259+13.862
294:29 AM46.99439.3154-7.67863

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Chat with chart Stochastics for NT8 PredictIndicators draws the predicted Stochastics for BTCUSD up to 30 bars ahead on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts, next to the Stochastics you already use. Stochastics indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

Future candle indicator for BTCUSD in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 Yes. On a NinjaTrader 8 or MT5 BTCUSD chart, PredictIndicators shows the predicted open, high, low and close of the coming bars to the right of the last bar. Next candle prediction indicator →

MetaTrader 5 AI assistant for Bitcoin Yes. The chat indicator sits on your NinjaTrader 8 or MetaTrader 5 BTCUSD chart: ask where the prediction turns or what the open indicators agree on. It answers questions; it does not place trades. ChatGPT for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.