Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 1:12 AM to 1:41 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 27, 2026 at 1:12 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 93.5842. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:41 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

11.3852.593.62Sep 27, 1:12 AM ET1:41 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 1:12 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

11.3852.593.62Sep 27, 1:12 AM ET1:41 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:12 AM ET93.5842
Projected value at 1:41 AM ET40.7399
Actual value at 1:41 AM ET64.2235
Projected change across the window-52.8443
Actual change across the window-29.3606
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.80×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.80 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (1:18 AM ET), where they sat 2.65113 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (1:14 AM ET) with a gap of 47.1344. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (1:17 AM ET), a move of -29.2948. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:13 AM51.738896.4027+44.6639
61:18 AM28.739726.0886-2.65113
121:24 AM43.18624.6018-18.5843
181:30 AM44.304511.4534-32.8511
241:36 AM41.501912.8642-28.6378
291:41 AM40.739964.2235+23.4837

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Is there an indicator that predicts the next BTCUSD candle? Yes. On a NinjaTrader 8 or MT5 BTCUSD chart, PredictIndicators shows the predicted open, high, low and close of the coming bars to the right of the last bar. Next candle prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.