Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM to 12:28 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 73.5248. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:28 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

20.255.8591.5Sep 26, 11:59 PM ET12:28 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 11:59 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

20.255.8591.5Sep 26, 11:59 PM ET12:28 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:59 PM ET73.5248
Projected value at 12:28 AM ET39.882
Actual value at 12:28 AM ET31.746
Projected change across the window-33.6428
Actual change across the window-41.7787
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.81×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.81 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (12:27 AM ET), where they sat 1.68217 apart, and furthest at bar 24 (12:23 AM ET) with a gap of 38.9385. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (12:16 AM ET), a move of +20.0607. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:00 AM96.283184.2-12.0831
612:05 AM73.141879.1916+6.04974
1212:11 AM47.522851.7792+4.25639
1812:17 AM46.613656.4425+9.82888
2412:23 AM42.642481.5809+38.9385
2912:28 AM39.88231.746-8.13595

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Download MT5 AI Stochastics PredictIndicators draws the predicted Stochastics for BTCUSD up to 30 bars ahead on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts, next to the Stochastics you already use. Stochastics indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

Future candle indicator for BTCUSD in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 Yes. On a NinjaTrader 8 or MT5 BTCUSD chart, PredictIndicators shows the predicted open, high, low and close of the coming bars to the right of the last bar. Next candle prediction indicator →

NinjaTrader chat about futures price action for BTCUSD The PredictIndicators chat indicator runs live on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts: ask about the BTCUSD chart, the predicted candles and the indicators, and the answer appears on the chart. AI chat indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.