Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 11:58 PM to 12:27 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 26, 2026 at 11:58 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 73.5248. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:27 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

19.9653.8287.68Sep 26, 11:58 PM ET12:27 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 11:58 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

19.9653.8287.68Sep 26, 11:58 PM ET12:27 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:58 PM ET73.5248
Projected value at 12:27 AM ET42.0805
Actual value at 12:27 AM ET31.746
Projected change across the window-31.4443
Actual change across the window-41.7787
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.75×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.75 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (12:26 AM ET), where they sat 0.113719 apart, and furthest at bar 24 (12:22 AM ET) with a gap of 37.8649. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (12:15 AM ET), a move of +20.0607. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:59 PM91.923284.2-7.72321
612:04 AM70.601179.1916+8.59051
1212:10 AM47.124351.7792+4.65489
1812:16 AM43.019956.4425+13.4225
2412:22 AM43.71681.5809+37.8649
2912:27 AM42.080531.746-10.3344

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Next candle prediction indicator for BTCUSD PredictIndicators is a next candle prediction indicator: it draws the predicted next candles of BTCUSD, up to 30 bars ahead, on your NinjaTrader 8 or MetaTrader 5 chart and redraws them as each bar closes. Next candle prediction indicator →

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.