Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 11:56 PM to 12:25 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 26, 2026 at 11:56 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 78.9348. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:25 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

14.6147.3280.03Sep 26, 11:56 PM ET12:25 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 11:56 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

14.6147.3280.03Sep 26, 11:56 PM ET12:25 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:56 PM ET78.9348
Projected value at 12:25 AM ET46.4826
Actual value at 12:25 AM ET24.9051
Projected change across the window-32.4522
Actual change across the window-54.0297
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.60×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.60 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 6 (12:01 AM ET), where they sat 0.355723 apart, and furthest at bar 21 (12:17 AM ET) with a gap of 37.0614. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (12:10 AM ET), a move of +20.0607. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:57 PM83.474681.4501-2.02456
612:02 AM69.038376.8144+7.77605
1212:08 AM51.44115.4074-36.0335
1812:14 AM44.282758.735+14.4523
2412:20 AM46.416745.9935-0.423201
2912:25 AM46.482624.9051-21.5776

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Best MT5 predictive Stochastics Yes. Alongside the regular Stochastics, PredictIndicators shows where the Stochastics is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. Stochastics indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

MetaTrader AI chart reader for Bitcoin The PredictIndicators chat indicator runs live on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts: ask about the BTCUSD chart, the predicted candles and the indicators, and the answer appears on the chart. AI chat indicator →

NT8 ADX prediction accuracy A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.