Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 9:57 PM to 10:26 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 26, 2026 at 9:57 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 61.3397. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:26 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

12.244.3676.52Sep 26, 9:57 PM ET10:26 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 9:57 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

12.244.3676.52Sep 26, 9:57 PM ET10:26 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:57 PM ET61.3397
Projected value at 10:26 PM ET41.3599
Actual value at 10:26 PM ET80.8351
Projected change across the window-19.9798
Actual change across the window+19.4954
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.02×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.02 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (10:16 PM ET), where they sat 2.18708 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (10:26 PM ET) with a gap of 39.4752. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (9:59 PM ET), a move of -25.013. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:58 PM57.092537.6534-19.4391
610:03 PM26.863617.9167-8.94692
1210:09 PM30.909512.8012-18.1083
1810:15 PM38.98631.0458-7.94019
2410:21 PM43.930176.4178+32.4878
2910:26 PM41.359980.8351+39.4752

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

MetaTrader 5 Stochastics chart reader Yes. Alongside the regular Stochastics, PredictIndicators shows where the Stochastics is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. Stochastics indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NinjaTrader ask AI about technical indicators The PredictIndicators chat indicator runs live on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts: ask about the BTCUSD chart, the predicted candles and the indicators, and the answer appears on the chart. AI chat indicator →

Next candle prediction indicator for MT5 on BTCUSD PredictIndicators is a next candle prediction indicator: it draws the predicted next candles of BTCUSD, up to 30 bars ahead, on your NinjaTrader 8 or MetaTrader 5 chart and redraws them as each bar closes. Next candle prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.