Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 7:50 PM to 8:19 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 26, 2026 at 7:50 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 78.0052. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:19 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

8.27343.1277.97Sep 26, 7:50 PM ET8:19 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 7:50 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

8.27343.1277.97Sep 26, 7:50 PM ET8:19 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:50 PM ET78.0052
Projected value at 8:19 PM ET54.8869
Actual value at 8:19 PM ET34.5028
Projected change across the window-23.1184
Actual change across the window-43.5024
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.53×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.53 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (8:17 PM ET), where they sat 0.62649 apart, and furthest at bar 13 (8:03 PM ET) with a gap of 57.6081. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 15 (8:05 PM ET), a move of +26.2433. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:51 PM78.806481.8161+3.00973
67:56 PM80.449666.7202-13.7294
128:02 PM63.32216.70664-56.6155
188:08 PM53.229313.6033-39.626
248:14 PM58.161557.1804-0.981054
298:19 PM54.886934.5028-20.3841

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Best MT5 artificial intelligence Stochastics Yes. Alongside the regular Stochastics, PredictIndicators shows where the Stochastics is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. Stochastics indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

Is there an indicator that predicts the next BTCUSD candle? PredictIndicators is a next candle prediction indicator: it draws the predicted next candles of BTCUSD, up to 30 bars ahead, on your NinjaTrader 8 or MetaTrader 5 chart and redraws them as each bar closes. Next candle prediction indicator →

How to install a prediction indicator in MT5 for BTCUSD Download PredictIndicators for your platform, activate the 3 day free licence and add it to your BTCUSD chart: the predicted candles appear right away. How to install →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.