Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 6, 2026, 7:13 PM to 7:42 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 6, 2026 at 7:13 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 8.22572. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:42 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.97540.3774.76Sep 6, 7:13 PM ET7:42 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 7:13 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.97540.3774.76Sep 6, 7:13 PM ET7:42 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:13 PM ET8.22572
Projected value at 7:42 PM ET49.7199
Actual value at 7:42 PM ET51.1753
Projected change across the window+41.4942
Actual change across the window+42.9496
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.97×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.97 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (7:36 PM ET), where they sat 1.41213 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (7:13 PM ET) with a gap of 46.2262. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (7:25 PM ET), a move of +27.0692. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:14 PM50.66195.9325-44.7294
67:19 PM36.53014.48377-32.0463
127:25 PM42.354353.2336+10.8793
187:31 PM46.300752.2174+5.9167
247:37 PM43.60945.6667+2.05766
297:42 PM49.719951.1753+1.45546

About Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high-low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.