Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 5, 2026, 4:30 PM to 4:59 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 5, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 20.4178. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:59 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

16.7854.2791.76Sep 5, 4:30 PM ET4:59 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 4:30 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

16.7854.2791.76Sep 5, 4:30 PM ET4:59 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:30 PM ET20.4178
Projected value at 4:59 PM ET54.6149
Actual value at 4:59 PM ET44.0813
Projected change across the window+34.1971
Actual change across the window+23.6635
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.45×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.45 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (4:54 PM ET), where they sat 0.0344877 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (4:34 PM ET) with a gap of 50.1536. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (4:32 PM ET), a move of +25.055. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:31 PM23.473211.7455-11.7277
64:36 PM26.046770.1414+44.0947
124:42 PM45.099375.212+30.1127
184:48 PM52.192870.0607+17.8679
244:54 PM54.864154.8986+0.0344877
294:59 PM54.614944.0813-10.5336

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Best predictive AI Stochastics for MetaTrader 5 Yes. Alongside the regular Stochastics, PredictIndicators shows where the Stochastics is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. Stochastics indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

MT5 price prediction indicator for Bitcoin Yes. The same PredictIndicators predictions run on MetaTrader 5 charts, with one licence covering MT5 and NinjaTrader 8. MetaTrader 5 price prediction indicator →

MetaTrader MACD prediction accuracy for intraday futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.