Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 5, 2026, 4:23 PM to 4:52 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 5, 2026 at 4:23 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 68.7347. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:52 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

30.6261.6292.63Sep 5, 4:23 PM ET4:52 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 4:23 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

30.6261.6292.63Sep 5, 4:23 PM ET4:52 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:23 PM ET68.7347
Projected value at 4:52 PM ET53.0205
Actual value at 4:52 PM ET53.3794
Projected change across the window-15.7142
Actual change across the window-15.3553
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.02×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.02 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 4 (4:26 PM ET), where they sat 0.121306 apart, and furthest at bar 25 (4:48 PM ET) with a gap of 25.5584. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 28 (4:51 PM ET), a move of +17.3679. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:24 PM65.643265.1784-0.464811
64:29 PM75.93486.0046+10.0706
124:35 PM60.169265.6697+5.5005
184:41 PM52.773747.5008-5.27292
244:47 PM51.526633.2917-18.2349
294:52 PM53.020553.3794+0.358956

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Prediction Stochastics for NinjaTrader 8 Yes. Alongside the regular Stochastics, PredictIndicators shows where the Stochastics is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. Stochastics indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

How do I add the BTCUSD prediction indicator in NinjaTrader 8? In NinjaTrader 8 import the zip with Tools → Import → NinjaScript Add On; in MetaTrader 5 run the setup. Then add PredictIndicators to your BTCUSD chart. How to install →

Buy NinjaTrader 8 artificial intelligence technical indicator PredictIndicators is $149.99 per month (regular $299.99) with a 3 day free trial, and one licence covers NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5. Start the 3 day free trial →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.