Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 6:20 PM to 6:49 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 4, 2026 at 6:20 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 75.804. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:49 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

20.2948.8777.44Sep 4, 6:20 PM ET6:49 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 6:20 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

20.2948.8777.44Sep 4, 6:20 PM ET6:49 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:20 PM ET75.804
Projected value at 6:49 PM ET54.2551
Actual value at 6:49 PM ET36.6758
Projected change across the window-21.5488
Actual change across the window-39.1282
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.55×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.55 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (6:42 PM ET), where they sat 0.0336583 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (6:26 PM ET) with a gap of 48.7583. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (6:24 PM ET), a move of -18.4144. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:21 PM79.314968.3239-10.991
66:26 PM65.216116.4578-48.7583
126:32 PM52.323227.1945-25.1287
186:38 PM53.268857.7173+4.4485
246:44 PM54.074431.5861-22.4883
296:49 PM54.255136.6758-17.5793

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Buy NinjaTrader 8 predictive AI Stochastics PredictIndicators draws the predicted Stochastics for BTCUSD up to 30 bars ahead on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts, next to the Stochastics you already use. Stochastics indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NinjaTrader AI assistant for day trading The PredictIndicators chat indicator runs live on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts: ask about the BTCUSD chart, the predicted candles and the indicators, and the answer appears on the chart. AI chat indicator →

Next candle prediction indicator for BTCUSD PredictIndicators is a next candle prediction indicator: it draws the predicted next candles of BTCUSD, up to 30 bars ahead, on your NinjaTrader 8 or MetaTrader 5 chart and redraws them as each bar closes. Next candle prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.