Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 6:07 PM to 6:36 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 4, 2026 at 6:07 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 90.6529. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:36 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

12.3852.8793.37Sep 4, 6:07 PM ET6:36 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 6:07 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

12.3852.8793.37Sep 4, 6:07 PM ET6:36 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:07 PM ET90.6529
Projected value at 6:36 PM ET43.6798
Actual value at 6:36 PM ET65.5231
Projected change across the window-46.9731
Actual change across the window-25.1298
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.87×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.87 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (6:33 PM ET), where they sat 2.73608 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (6:13 PM ET) with a gap of 38.5547. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (6:34 PM ET), a move of +26.0959. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:08 PM66.486798.8049+32.3182
66:13 PM52.326190.8809+38.5547
126:19 PM40.516863.9353+23.4185
186:25 PM39.308628.7413-10.5673
246:31 PM41.853327.4998-14.3535
296:36 PM43.679865.5231+21.8433

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Download NinjaTrader 8 predictive Stochastics PredictIndicators draws the predicted Stochastics for BTCUSD up to 30 bars ahead on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts, next to the Stochastics you already use. Stochastics indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NinjaTrader bar indicator prediction for BTCUSD Yes. PredictIndicators runs inside NinjaTrader 8: the predicted BTCUSD candles and the predicted indicators sit on your own chart, next to the indicators you already use. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

MT5 AI interpretation of predicted candles The PredictIndicators chat indicator runs live on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts: ask about the BTCUSD chart, the predicted candles and the indicators, and the answer appears on the chart. AI chat indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.