MACD prediction vs outcome — MYM, 1 minute chart, October 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 15, 2026, 2:05 PM to 2:34 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 15, 2026 at 2:05 PM ET, MACD on the MYM 1 minute chart read 10.7908. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:34 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-18.73-1.59215.54Oct 15, 2:05 PM ET2:34 PM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 2:05 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-18.73-1.59215.54Oct 15, 2:05 PM ET2:34 PM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:05 PM ET10.7908
Projected value at 2:34 PM ET-2.67476
Actual value at 2:34 PM ET17.8437
Projected change across the window-13.4656
Actual change across the window+7.0529
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.91×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to fall, while it rose instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.91 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (2:18 PM ET), where they sat 0.355933 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (2:34 PM ET) with a gap of 20.5185. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 24 (2:29 PM ET), a move of +8.56486. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:06 PM-2.827517.5552+10.3827
62:11 PM-5.95738-9.04699-3.08961
122:17 PM-5.49862-6.75304-1.25442
182:23 PM-4.18524-21.0271-16.8419
242:29 PM-3.039968.03979+11.0798
292:34 PM-2.6747617.8437+20.5185

About MACD on a 1 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of MYM activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.