MACD prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 59 minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 1:34 PM to 6:05 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 22, 2026 at 1:34 PM ET, MACD on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 59 minute chart read 32.2475. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:05 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.558915.4130.25Sep 22, 1:34 PM ET6:05 PM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 1:34 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.558915.4130.25Sep 22, 1:34 PM ET6:05 PM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:34 PM ET32.2475
Projected value at 6:05 PM ET-0.479138
Actual value at 6:05 PM ET0.571107
Projected change across the window-32.7266
Actual change across the window-31.6764
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.03×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.03 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 16 (4:19 AM ET), where they sat 0.011647 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:34 PM ET) with a gap of 31.4423. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (9:26 PM ET), a move of -5.35005. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:33 PM0.38011731.3004+30.9203
67:28 PM-0.66111718.3323+18.9934
121:22 AM-0.8309261.17317+2.0041
187:16 AM-0.733358-1.4351-0.701746
241:10 PM-0.5984860.390784+0.98927
296:05 PM-0.4791380.571107+1.05025

About MACD on a 59 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 59 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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NT8 how is prediction accuracy measured for Micro Nasdaq 100 futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.