MACD prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 59 minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 10:41 AM to 3:12 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 22, 2026 at 10:41 AM ET, MACD on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 59 minute chart read 2.03371. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:12 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-3.7520.032233.817Sep 22, 10:41 AM ET3:12 PM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 10:41 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-3.7520.032233.817Sep 22, 10:41 AM ET3:12 PM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:41 AM ET2.03371
Projected value at 3:12 PM ET-1.42363
Actual value at 3:12 PM ET4.32496
Projected change across the window-3.45733
Actual change across the window+2.29126
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.51×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to fall, while it rose instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.51 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 1 (10:41 AM ET), where they sat 0.00608665 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (3:12 PM ET) with a gap of 5.74859. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (1:14 PM ET), a move of +1.42278. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:40 AM0.8282211.80622+0.978
64:35 PM-2.1602-1.84046+0.319739
1210:29 PM-2.75158-2.88689-0.13531
184:23 AM-2.3699-4.2605-1.8906
2410:17 AM-1.83528-1.14674+0.688535
293:12 PM-1.423634.32496+5.74859

About MACD on a 59 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 59 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Best NinjaTrader 8 AI MACD Yes. Alongside the regular MACD, PredictIndicators shows where the MACD is predicted to go next on MNQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. MACD indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

MetaTrader predicted plus DI minus DI for MNQ Yes. The same PredictIndicators predictions run on MetaTrader 5 charts, with one licence covering MT5 and NinjaTrader 8. MetaTrader 5 price prediction indicator →

Is there an indicator that predicts the next MNQ candle? Yes. On a NinjaTrader 8 or MT5 MNQ chart, PredictIndicators shows the predicted open, high, low and close of the coming bars to the right of the last bar. Next candle prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.