MACD prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 2 minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 7:39 AM to 8:37 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 3, 2026 at 7:39 AM ET, MACD on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 2 minute chart read 4.04438. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:37 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-0.070952.9635.997Sep 3, 7:39 AM ET8:37 AM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 7:39 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-0.070952.9635.997Sep 3, 7:39 AM ET8:37 AM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:39 AM ET4.04438
Projected value at 8:37 AM ET-0.03944
Actual value at 8:37 AM ET1.7169
Projected change across the window-4.08382
Actual change across the window-2.32748
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.75×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.75 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (7:51 AM ET), where they sat 0.0625014 apart, and furthest at bar 19 (8:17 AM ET) with a gap of 6.50604. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (8:07 AM ET), a move of +1.9083. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:41 AM2.779483.53024+0.750758
67:51 AM0.6618170.724318+0.0625014
128:03 AM0.161333-0.102137-0.26347
188:15 AM-0.09682235.41152+5.50835
248:27 AM0.2712825.30557+5.03429
298:37 AM-0.039441.7169+1.75634

About MACD on a 2 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 2 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 1 hours of trading, so the window above describes 1 hours of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Best MetaTrader 5 AI MACD Yes. Alongside the regular MACD, PredictIndicators shows where the MACD is predicted to go next on MNQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. MACD indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NinjaTrader bar ATR prediction Yes. PredictIndicators runs inside NinjaTrader 8: the predicted MNQ candles and the predicted indicators sit on your own chart, next to the indicators you already use. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

How to install a prediction indicator in MT5 for MNQ In NinjaTrader 8 import the zip with Tools → Import → NinjaScript Add On; in MetaTrader 5 run the setup. Then add PredictIndicators to your MNQ chart. How to install →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.