MACD forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 1:41 PM to 2:10 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 1:41 PM ET, MACD on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 6.35979. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:10 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.1763.54912.27Sep 30, 1:41 PM ET2:10 PM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 1:41 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.1763.54912.27Sep 30, 1:41 PM ET2:10 PM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:41 PM ET6.35979
Projected value at 2:10 PM ET-3.61619
Actual value at 2:10 PM ET13.4457
Projected change across the window-9.97597
Actual change across the window+7.08588
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.41×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to fall, while it rose instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.41 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 16 (1:56 PM ET), where they sat 0.0508522 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (2:10 PM ET) with a gap of 17.0619. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (1:52 PM ET), a move of -6.83708. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:42 PM-0.8512226.22347+7.07469
61:47 PM-1.702637.39672+9.09935
121:53 PM-3.42968-5.13181-1.70214
181:59 PM-3.64551-6.06779-2.42228
242:05 PM-3.88126.23506+10.1163
292:10 PM-3.6161913.4457+17.0619

About MACD on a 1-minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.