MACD prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 6:14 AM to 6:43 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 30, 2026 at 6:14 AM ET, MACD on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read -3.49861. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:43 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-7.464-3.876-0.2876Sep 30, 6:14 AM ET6:43 AM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 6:14 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-7.464-3.876-0.2876Sep 30, 6:14 AM ET6:43 AM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:14 AM ET-3.49861
Projected value at 6:43 AM ET-0.603815
Actual value at 6:43 AM ET-0.983262
Projected change across the window+2.8948
Actual change across the window+2.51535
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.15×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.15 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 16 (6:29 AM ET), where they sat 0.214937 apart, and furthest at bar 18 (6:32 AM ET) with a gap of 6.84414. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (6:32 AM ET), a move of -3.37706. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:15 AM-4.33127-3.15414+1.17713
66:20 AM-3.03206-1.66619+1.36587
126:26 AM-2.06463-0.0880771+1.97655
186:32 AM-1.10135-7.9455-6.84414
246:38 AM-0.951187-3.4803-2.52911
296:43 AM-0.603815-0.983262-0.379447

About MACD on a 1 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

MACD crossover prediction MetaTrader 5 Yes. Alongside the regular MACD, PredictIndicators shows where the MACD is predicted to go next on MNQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. MACD indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

MetaTrader how do predictive indicators work for MNQ Yes. The same PredictIndicators predictions run on MetaTrader 5 charts, with one licence covering MT5 and NinjaTrader 8. MetaTrader 5 price prediction indicator →

How to install an indicator in MetaTrader 5 for Micro Nasdaq 100 futures In NinjaTrader 8 import the zip with Tools → Import → NinjaScript Add On; in MetaTrader 5 run the setup. Then add PredictIndicators to your MNQ chart. How to install →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.