MACD prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 10:03 AM to 10:32 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 29, 2026 at 10:03 AM ET, MACD on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 3.72654. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:32 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-9.092-2.5723.947Sep 29, 10:03 AM ET10:32 AM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 10:03 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-9.092-2.5723.947Sep 29, 10:03 AM ET10:32 AM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:03 AM ET3.72654
Projected value at 10:32 AM ET-4.60367
Actual value at 10:32 AM ET-9.96759
Projected change across the window-8.33021
Actual change across the window-13.6941
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.61×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.61 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (10:26 AM ET), where they sat 0.251324 apart, and furthest at bar 13 (10:16 AM ET) with a gap of 8.72861. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (10:23 AM ET), a move of -1.91692. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:04 AM1.573252.57853+1.00527
610:09 AM-1.604782.71015+4.31493
1210:15 AM-3.569694.19956+7.76925
1810:21 AM-4.762621.00347+5.76609
2410:27 AM-5.09666-6.52425-1.42759
2910:32 AM-4.60367-9.96759-5.36393

About MACD on a 1 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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NT8 ATR prediction accuracy for Micro Nasdaq 100 futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.