MACD forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 8:22 AM to 8:51 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 8:22 AM ET, MACD on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 8.91012. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:51 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-2.3272.9388.203Sep 29, 8:22 AM ET8:51 AM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 8:22 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-2.3272.9388.203Sep 29, 8:22 AM ET8:51 AM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:22 AM ET8.91012
Projected value at 8:51 AM ET1.96908
Actual value at 8:51 AM ET1.99316
Projected change across the window-6.94103
Actual change across the window-6.91696
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.00×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.00 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (8:51 AM ET), where they sat 0.0240777 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:22 AM ET) with a gap of 6.21481. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (8:24 AM ET), a move of -2.12871. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:23 AM2.08317.52754+5.44444
68:28 AM1.11899-0.0898337-1.20882
128:34 AM1.1711-2.949-4.1201
188:40 AM1.309340.612087-0.697251
248:46 AM1.73271-0.593344-2.32605
298:51 AM1.969081.99316+0.0240777

About MACD on a 1-minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.