MACD prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 6:15 AM to 6:44 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 29, 2026 at 6:15 AM ET, MACD on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 19.9894. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:44 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-4.5197.32119.16Sep 29, 6:15 AM ET6:44 AM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 6:15 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-4.5197.32119.16Sep 29, 6:15 AM ET6:44 AM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:15 AM ET19.9894
Projected value at 6:44 AM ET5.68888
Actual value at 6:44 AM ET-6.10858
Projected change across the window-14.3005
Actual change across the window-26.0979
Bars moving the same direction27 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.55×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.55 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 93% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 12 (6:26 AM ET), where they sat 0.0439647 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (6:44 AM ET) with a gap of 11.7975. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (6:21 AM ET), a move of -2.17585. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:16 AM9.8687220.7496+10.8809
66:21 AM9.2683514.111+4.84263
126:27 AM8.262117.468-0.79411
186:33 AM7.144373.77202-3.37235
246:39 AM6.24680.034401-6.2124
296:44 AM5.68888-6.10858-11.7975

About MACD on a 1 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

MACD predictor NinjaTrader 8 PredictIndicators draws the predicted MACD for MNQ up to 30 bars ahead on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts, next to the MACD you already use. MACD indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NinjaTrader can AI predict future indicator values accurately for Micro Nasdaq 100 futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Future candle indicator for MNQ in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 Yes. On a NinjaTrader 8 or MT5 MNQ chart, PredictIndicators shows the predicted open, high, low and close of the coming bars to the right of the last bar. Next candle prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.